CLASS 9 MATHS · PROBABILITY

Experimental (empirical) probability

Empirical probability of an event = number of trials in which it happened ÷ total number of trials.

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Worked examples

Example 1 · level 1

A school cricket team won 10 of its last 20 matches. What is the empirical probability that it wins a match? (answer as a fraction)

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  1. Wins = 10, matches = 20.
  2. P = 10/20 = 1/2.

Answer: 1/2

Example 2 · level 2

A bulb factory tested 300 bulbs and found 20 defective. What is the probability that a bulb picked at random is not defective? (answer as a fraction)

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  1. Not defective = 300 − 20 = 280.
  2. P = 280/300 = 14/15.

Answer: 14/15

Example 3 · level 3

Two coins were tossed 76 times: 2 heads came up 21 times, 1 head 33 times, and 0 heads 22 times. What is the empirical probability of getting at least one head? (answer as a fraction)

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  1. At least one head = 1 head + 2 heads = 33 + 21 = 54.
  2. P = 54/76 = 27/38.

Answer: 27/38

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